Kenya Met Warns of Four Consecutive Days of Heavy Rainfall, Lists Flood-Risk Areas Including Nairobi

The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD), through its Acting Director Edward Muriuki, has issued a heavy rainfall advisory, warning the government of potential floods.

In a notice dated Friday, February 20, 2026, Kenya Met predicted that the country is likely to experience heavy rainfall across most regions from February 21, 2026 (3:00 p.m.) to February 25, 2026 (6:00 p.m.), urging various government agencies to prepare adequately.

The advisory was addressed to several government institutions, including the Presidency; Cabinet Secretary, Ministry of Environment, Climate Change and Forestry; Principal Secretary, State Department for Environment and Climate Change; National Intelligence Service; Kenya Red Cross; Kenya Maritime Authority; Kenya Ports Authority; Kenya Airports Authority; National Disaster Operations Centre; National Disaster Management Unit; media houses; relevant government ministries; the Council of Governors; and County Directors of Meteorological Services (CDMs).

Kenya Met Issues Heavy Rainfall Advisory

Kenya Met stated that there is a 33 to 66 percent chance of the rainfall occurring, indicating a moderate probability, with rainfall intensity expected to range from moderate to heavy.

According to the department, rainfall currently being experienced over the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley, and the Highlands west and east of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi, is expected to intensify to more than 20mm within 24 hours on February 21, 2026.

The rainfall is likely to intensify further to more than 30mm within 24 hours on February 22, 23, and 24, 2026, and spread to the southeastern lowlands and the coastal region, especially the South Coast. The rainfall is projected to decrease in intensity on February 25, 2026.

Also Read: Kenya Met Warns of Uneven Rainfall, Floods and Dry Spells Ahead of Long Rains

Counties Expected to Receive Heavy Rainfall

Counties expected to receive heavy rainfall include Migori, Nyamira, Bungoma, Kakamega, Embu, Murang’a, Nyeri, Tharaka-Nithi, Kisii, Narok, Kajiado, Makueni, Machakos, Nairobi, Kericho, Bomet, Taita-Taveta, Kitui, Kwale, Mombasa, the southern parts of Tana River, and parts of Kilifi.

Kenya Met advised residents in the affected areas to remain vigilant for potential floods. Floodwaters may appear in areas that have not received heavy rainfall, especially downstream.

Also Read: Kenya Met Lists Areas to Receive Rainfall This Week

Residents have also been warned to avoid driving or walking through moving water or flooded areas. Updates will be provided promptly if there are any changes.

Members of the public have been encouraged to stay informed through official updates from the Kenya Meteorological Department.

“All correspondence should be addressed to the Director of Meteorological Services, Dagoretti Corner, Ngong Road, P.O. Box 30259–00100, Nairobi, Kenya. Telephone: 254 (0) 20 3867880-7, 0724 255 153/4. Email: director@meteo.go.ke, info@meteo.go.ke. Website: www.meteo.go.ke. Follow us on X and Facebook,” Kenya Met stated.

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