The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD)has warned of heavy rainfall that could trigger flooding in several parts of the country during April.
In its monthly forecast released on Thursday, April 2, 2026, Kenya Met cautioned that continued rains may lead to renewed flooding, especially following the severe March downpours that saw rivers burst their banks and drainage systems overwhelmed in multiple regions.
According to the weatherman, parts of North-eastern Kenya are expected to receive above-average rainfall, raising the risk of flash floods.
Meanwhile, most areas in the South-eastern lowlands, sections of the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, and parts of north-western and north-eastern Kenya are likely to record near- to below-average rainfall. The coastal region is expected to experience below-average rainfall.
Near-average rainfall is, however, anticipated across the Lake Victoria Basin, the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, the Rift Valley, and much of the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi.
Also Read: Kenya Met Releases April First-Week Weather Forecast
The forecast further indicates that rainfall will be slightly reduced in the first half of April across much of the country before intensifying towards the end of the month. Despite this trend, isolated heavy rainfall events are expected in various regions throughout the month.
Temperature projections show warmer-than-average conditions in the coastal, north-eastern, and north-western regions, while the rest of the country is likely to experience near-average temperatures.
Detailed Weather Forecast
Regionally, counties in the Lake Victoria Basin and the Highlands West of the Rift Valley are expected to receive near-average rainfall accompanied by occasional storms. Similar conditions are forecast for the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi.
In North-eastern Kenya, rainfall is expected to vary, with northern parts of Marsabit, Wajir, and Mandera likely to receive above-average rainfall, while other areas may record below-average amounts.
Also Read: Rainfall Alert in Several Counties as March Ends, Kenya Met Warns
The South-eastern lowlands, including Machakos, Kitui, Makueni, and Kajiado counties, are expected to receive near- to below-average rainfall, while the Coast is likely to remain relatively drier.
The department warned that the anticipated rainfall could have significant impacts across key sectors. In agriculture, excessive rainfall in some regions may lead to waterlogging and crop losses, while areas receiving less rainfall could face moisture stress and increased pest activity.
Water authorities have been advised to closely monitor river levels and clear drainage systems to prevent flooding. Communities in flood-prone areas have also been urged to avoid riverbanks and comply with evacuation directives where necessary.
Transport and infrastructure could also be affected, with possible road damage and disruptions due to heavy rains. Health risks, including waterborne diseases and mosquito-borne infections, are also likely to increase in affected areas.
Disaster management agencies have been called upon to remain on high alert, strengthen early warning systems, and prepare emergency response measures to address potential flooding incidents.
Follow our WhatsApp channel for instant news updates

Kenya Met Boss Edward Muriuki speaking at past event. PHOTO/KMD.