The Kenya Meteorological Department (Kenya Met) has released the November weather outlook and issued precautionary advice to Kenyans.

In the forecast published on November 4, Kenya Met Director General Edward Muriuki acknowledged the ongoing heavy rainfall across several parts of the country.

Muriuki extended Kenya Met’s deepest sympathies to the families affected by the heavy rainfall resulting in landslides in Chesongoch, Marakwet East Sub-County.

“The sustained rainfall in October led to soil saturation and inundation, resulting in rockslides, landslides, and localized flooding across some counties in the western region,” he said.

Kenya Met said it issued a heavy rainfall advisory on October 22, 2025, based on the development of the Madden-Jullien Oscillation over the Indian Ocean and followed it up with a statement on  October 26, 2025, on the expected enhancement of the rainfall over the country due to the Tropical Depression Chenge.

The Elgeyo Marakwet County Meteorological Office issued the weekly forecast with an advisory of the expected heavy rainfall on October 27, 2025 and disseminated this information to the relevant offices.

“Kenya Met remains committed to providing early warning advisories to guide effective decision making and disseminates forecasts using the regular media channels, including our social media platforms,” Muriuki added.

Climate Outlook and High-Risk Advisory for November 2025 Rainfall Forecast

Muriuki stated that the Department maintains continuous weather monitoring and had previously issued a heavy rainfall alert, warning of possible flooding and landslides.

These warnings were captured in the:

(i) National forecast for the October-November-December (2025) Seasonal Forecast,

(ii) October and November 2025 Monthly Forecasts,

(iii) Weekly forecast issued by the Elgeyo Marakwet County Meteorological Office,

(iv) Heavy rainfall advisory issued by the Director on 22nd October 2025,

(v) Statement on Tropical Depression Chenge issued on 26th October 2025.

The November 2025 Climate Outlook

The November 2025 weather outlook indicates the following patterns:

(i) Near to above average rainfall is expected to continue over the counties in the Lake Victoria Basin, Highlands West of the Rift Valley, and the Central and South Rift Valley.

(ii) Near to below average or depressed rainfall is expected over the counties in the Highlands East of the Rift Valley (including Nairobi), Southeastern lowlands, Coast, and most of the Northeast.

(iii) Rainfall will be unevenly distributed, with intermittent dry spells in several parts of the country.

Further, the Department highlights the following key climate concerns:

(i) Temperature: Temperatures are expected to remain warmer than usual nationwide.

(ii) Risk Areas: Possibility of localized floods over the western region and prolonged dry spells in the eastern parts of the country.

(iii) Highland West and East of the Rift Valley and the Lake Basin are specifically noted as likely to receive occasional moderate rainfall, requiring caution due to already saturated soils.

Also Read: Kenya Met List Counties to Receive Rainfall in the First Week of November

 Advisory: Likely Impacts and Recommended Actions

a) In Disaster Management, the likely impacts include isolated flooding in poorly drained urban centers, continued landslides in hilly areas, and lightning strikes in regions like Kisii, Kisumu, and Narok.

Therefore, the public is strongly advised not to walk or drive through flooded areas and not to shelter under trees and near grilled windows during a storm to minimize exposure to lightning strikes.

b) Regarding Water Resources, depressed rainfall in the eastern sector of the country may not sufficiently meet water needs; therefore, communities are encouraged to harvest and store rainwater and adopt efficient water-use practices.

c) For Agriculture, adequate soil moisture for production is expected in the west, but this may disrupt ongoing harvesting; meanwhile, poor crop performance is anticipated in the Central, Eastern, and Coastal regions due to poor rain distribution, making water conservation urgent in drier areas.

d) In the Environment sector, favourable soil moisture is expected in the Lake Victoria Basin, Highlands West, and Central Rift Valley, and the public is encouraged to support Kenya’s Mission 15B (JazaMiti), the national initiative to plant 15 billion trees by 2032.

e) Health concerns include an increase in vector-borne diseases (e.g., malaria) due to stagnant water in wet areas and higher incidences of respiratory infections in dry, dusty regions; citizens should take proactive health measures in areas with poor drainage and in dry regions.

f) In the Transport sector, slippery roads and flash floods may cause disruptions and accidents, so motorists and pedestrians are urged to exercise caution during heavy downpours and avoid flood-prone routes.

Also Read:Kenya Met Issues Weather Outlook For The Next Five Days

Conclusion and Call to Action

In support of the Government’s commitments to realize the vision of a climate-resilient country, KMD has called upon all citizens and stakeholders to utilize this climate information and advisories for planning and decision-making.

He emphasized that the Department will continue issuing regular and timely weather updates on a daily and weekly basis.

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A collage of Kenya Met notice warning Kenyans about more rainfall. PHOTO/File