Kenya at risk as Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) drops latest report about food shortage that is expected to affect more than two million Kenyans.

According to the latest report, those people who are living at semi-arid parts of the country are the most affected by this pandemic.

“Nearly 1.8 million people are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity, classified as IPC Phase 3 or above (Crisis or worse), between July and September 2025 (lean season). Of this total, around 179,000 people are experiencing IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) conditions, while the remaining population is classified in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis),” IPC stated.

Counties That are worst affected

The worst-affected areas are four arid counties across the country which are Baringo, Mandera, Marsabit, and Turkana.

Aid organisations and government officials are now preparing for a major deterioration in the upcoming months, predicting a return to crisis levels that could drive hundreds of thousands to the verge of famine, even though a recent reprieve from drought brought temporary relief.

Comparison between February- March and July- September 2025

Although there’s a slightly improvement between February – March 2025 and July – September 2025.

This improvement has been fueled by above average rainfall which attributed to crop and livestock production that increased food security.

“The current situation has improved compared to the period between February and March 2025 when 2.2 million people faced high levels of acute food security,” IPC said.

IPC predicts Kenya’s food security crisis 

Kenya is expected to experience serious food security crisis in the upcoming months, and experts warn that things will start to significantly worsen in October 2025.

An estimated 2.1 million people are anticipated to experience severe acute food insecurity during the projection period through January 2026, per a recent integrated food security analysis.

During the next short rainy season, which is expected to last from October to December 2025, the situation is expected to be at its worst.

Rainfall is predicted to be below normal, which will severely impair agricultural output and devastate pastoralist communities that depend on the rains for water and pasture. The crisis is primarily caused by this climatic shock,

A photo of Agriculture CS Mutahi Kagwe/ X Account