Ruto Leads as Sifuna Overtakes Gachagua in Latest Presidential Opinion Poll

A new opinion poll shows President William Ruto in the lead, while Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna has overtaken former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua in the latest presidential race rankings.

The poll shows Ruto leading with 24% support in what researchers described as a still-fluid and highly competitive race.

The findings also revealed a significant number of undecided voters, showing that the political landscape could still change before the next General Election.

TIFA Poll: Ruto Maintains Early Lead

According to the poll, Ruto tops the list with 24% support ahead of other potential presidential contenders.

Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka came second with 19 %, while former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i followed with 14%.

The survey suggests that despite growing criticism from sections of the opposition, Ruto still enjoys an advantage because opposition support remains split among different leaders.

Also Read;Kindiki Leads Race to Become Ruto’s Running Mate as Three ODM Leaders Enter Top Five

Sifuna Surpasses Gachagua

Nairobi Senator and ODM Secretary General Edwin Sifuna emerged ahead of former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua in the latest rankings.

Sifuna received 10 % support, while Gachagua followed closely with 9 %.

The results place Sifuna among the top opposition figures being closely watched ahead of the 2027 elections.

Embakasi East MP Babu Owino received 2% support, while 3 % of respondents preferred other candidates.

Large Number of Undecided Voters

The poll also showed that 15% of voters are still undecided on who they would support for president.

Researchers say the high number of undecided voters means the race is still open and could change depending on future political alliances and campaigns.

They also noted that no single opposition candidate has managed to unite voters across the country, creating a fragmented opposition field.

Also Read;Infotrak Research Issues Clarification on Ol Kalou By-Election Polls

Race Still Wide Open

The findings paint a picture of a competitive presidential race that is still taking shape more than a year before the election season fully begins.

Political leaders are expected to continue building alliances and strengthening their support bases as the country moves closer to the 2027 General Election.

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TIFA Poll on Presidential Race Rankings as of May 14,2026
PHOTO/TIFA