The Kenya Met department in collaboration with Ministry of Health and Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI) has warned Kenyans in Western Kenya Highlands against Malaria epidemic.

In a notice released on November 5, 2025, Kenya Met issued a prediction system for the whole of November to December 2025.

The selected counties that are likely to be affected by the pandemic includes Kakamega, Kisii and Nandi counties.

The prediction is based on data-driven system integrates climate and environmental indicators, including temperature and rainfall trends to forecast the likelihood of malaria epidemics and support early health action.

Forecast Summary

Kakamega county leads with above 30% of high risk of Malaria Epidemic while Kisii and Nandi counties are risk free.

“Kakamega: High Risk of Malaria Epidemic (above 30% threshold) Kisii: No Risk Nandi: No Risk,” read part notice.

Kenya Met said results emphasizes how climate information is crucial in strengthening health preparedness.

“The results emphasize how climate information can strengthen health preparedness, allowing local health authorities and communities to plan preventive measures, distribute mosquito nets, enhance awareness, and prepare health facilities before peak transmission periods,” said Kenya Met.

This early warning effort represents a strong partnership between Kenya’s meteorological, health, and research institutions, aligning with the country’s goal to advance climate-informed health services.

Also Read:Kenya Met Warns of Heavy Rainfall, Floods, and Lightning in Several Counties This November

How the System Works

According to Kenya Met, Malaria Early Warning System requires combination of temperature and rainfall data to estimate the risk of malaria transmission.

In addition, mosquito breeding and parasite development increases when rainfall and temperatures raise above certain thresholds.

Also Read:Duale Clarifies What’s in the New Health Bill

Why Malaria Prediction matters

The government and authorities may;

• Distribute mosquito nets early
• Mobilize communities
• Prepare health facilities

Prevent avoidable illness and deaths

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Malaria Epidemic prediction in Kakamega and Kisii . PHOTO/File